Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Nosek 53.4% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 53.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 53.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
McCarron
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
55.1% (557)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
47.7% (111)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McCarron shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
McCarron
Nosek
Home
48.3% (147)
52.3% (342)
Away
58.7% (206)
55.5% (330)
By Period
McCarron
Nosek
P1
53.4%
49.0%
P2
59.5%
53.8%
P3
50.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%