Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.4% vs 59.3%). McCarron wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.9% vs Nosek 58.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 51.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 81.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 68.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
McCarron
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McCarron
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (86)
59.7% (469)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
100.0% (4)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
56.5% (124)
-12.1%
On power play, Nosek has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
McCarron shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
McCarron
Nosek
Home
59.5% (42)
59.0% (295)
Away
59.4% (64)
59.6% (302)
By Period
McCarron
Nosek
P1
71.0%
56.3%
P2
48.7%
61.9%
P3
61.1%
59.2%
Final 5 min
51.4%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |