Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Nosek 46.9% (+9.2%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 75.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 51.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McCarron
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
48.5% (66)
+4.6%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
100.0% (1)
-81.8%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
29.6% (27)
+24.1%
On power play, Nosek has a +81.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Nosek is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
McCarron
Nosek
Home
52.8% (477)
44.0% (25)
Away
52.8% (411)
43.5% (69)
By Period
McCarron
Nosek
P1
56.5%
46.4%
P2
53.2%
34.2%
P3
49.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%