Michael McCarron vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.7%). Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Nosek 53.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 65.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
McCarron
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
McCarron
Nosek
Last 10: McCarron 3-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
McCarron
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
4
McCarron
Nosek
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
54.9% (2,674)
-1.5%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
44.7% (47)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
47.4% (424)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
McCarron
Nosek
Home
52.3% (1,696)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
McCarron
Nosek
P1
53.9%
52.3%
P2
52.5%
54.0%
P3
52.0%
54.6%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |