Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.4%). Rasmussen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 50.1% vs Paul 50.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 50.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 64.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 62.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Rasmussen
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Rasmussen
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Rasmussen
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
0
Rasmussen
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
0
Rasmussen
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (681)
53.0% (644)
-2.9%
Power Play
63.5% (63)
37.5% (24)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (75)
42.9% (177)
-4.2%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Rasmussen shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Paul
Home
50.6% (423)
52.5% (516)
Away
49.5% (396)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Rasmussen
Paul
P1
50.4%
47.6%
P2
53.8%
48.4%
P3
46.5%
54.5%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |