Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.6% vs Paul 50.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 58.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 60.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Rasmussen
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rasmussen
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Rasmussen
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
0
Rasmussen
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (184)
48.8% (666)
-1.5%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.8% (65)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
60.0% (55)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rasmussen is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Rasmussen shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Paul
Home
42.3% (104)
49.7% (348)
Away
51.1% (92)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Rasmussen
Paul
P1
47.2%
51.0%
P2
42.9%
47.4%
P3
49.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
40.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Nick Paul |