Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Rasmussen wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 49.1% vs Paul 53.9% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Paul 53.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 52.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Rasmussen
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (108)
53.1% (710)
-5.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
57.3% (199)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
58.0% (69)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rasmussen is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Rasmussen shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Paul
Home
50.8% (63)
56.0% (466)
Away
45.6% (57)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Rasmussen
Paul
P1
48.8%
57.2%
P2
48.9%
54.9%
P3
45.5%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%