Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Rasmussen wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.8% vs Paul 53.3% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone
Paul 56.1%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 51.9%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 50.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Rasmussen
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (248)
53.2% (327)
-6.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
61.4% (57)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
50.0% (32)
-6.2%
On even strength, Paul has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Rasmussen shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Paul
Home
50.0% (98)
54.6% (183)
Away
45.4% (174)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Rasmussen
Paul
P1
40.2%
56.3%
P2
55.8%
54.8%
P3
43.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%