Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 50.8% vs Paul 53.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 55.9%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 60.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.1%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Rasmussen
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rasmussen
Paul
Last 5: Rasmussen 2-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rasmussen
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rasmussen
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Rasmussen
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (333)
53.8% (753)
-3.0%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
58.9% (90)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (37)
47.4% (78)
-1.5%
On even strength, Paul has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rasmussen is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Rasmussen shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Paul
Home
51.4% (212)
54.2% (450)
Away
50.5% (186)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Rasmussen
Paul
P1
54.5%
58.2%
P2
43.4%
50.6%
P3
54.2%
52.9%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |