Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.8%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Larkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Larkin
Zibanejad
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Larkin
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
52.7% (938)
-4.2%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
49.3% (225)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
39.5% (124)
+9.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Larkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zibanejad
Home
51.4% (652)
54.9% (594)
Away
48.5% (662)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Larkin
Zibanejad
P1
49.1%
50.1%
P2
52.0%
49.0%
P3
48.0%
53.0%
OT
52.6%
52.2%
Final 5 min
46.8%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |