Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 90.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 71.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Larkin
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Larkin
Zibanejad
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
2
Larkin
Zibanejad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
49.5% (1,211)
+3.4%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
52.8% (214)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
47.4% (247)
+7.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Larkin shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zibanejad
Home
55.8% (805)
52.8% (825)
Away
53.2% (782)
46.6% (848)
By Period
Larkin
Zibanejad
P1
55.2%
50.8%
P2
53.3%
46.5%
P3
55.1%
52.0%
OT
51.7%
48.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |