Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 22 meetings). Zibanejad wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 46.6% vs Dowd 55.5% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 40-23 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 94.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 86.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 87.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Zibanejad
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
40
(63 meetings)
23
40
Zibanejad
Dowd
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
17
8
Zibanejad
Dowd
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
19
Zibanejad
Dowd
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
13
Zibanejad
Dowd
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (667)
58.2% (617)
-10.4%
Power Play
51.4% (181)
71.4% (7)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (186)
47.2% (144)
-11.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zibanejad is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Zibanejad shoots right. Dowd is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Dowd
Home
48.4% (529)
58.4% (399)
Away
44.2% (505)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Zibanejad
Dowd
P1
46.2%
59.0%
P2
47.7%
56.1%
P3
44.8%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |