Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Dowd 53.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 83.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Zibanejad
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Zibanejad
Dowd
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Zibanejad
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
55.4% (771)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
57.1% (7)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
45.5% (165)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Zibanejad shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Dowd
Home
55.2% (656)
58.2% (462)
Away
49.6% (682)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Zibanejad
Dowd
P1
56.3%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
51.2%
53.9%
OT
52.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |