Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 84.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Zibanejad
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Zibanejad
Dowd
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
0
Zibanejad
Dowd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Zibanejad
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Zibanejad
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
55.2% (625)
-5.1%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
57.1% (7)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
38.2% (220)
+3.7%
On even strength, Dowd has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Zibanejad shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Dowd
Home
49.0% (681)
53.7% (445)
Away
49.9% (717)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Zibanejad
Dowd
P1
49.9%
48.8%
P2
47.6%
49.3%
P3
51.1%
54.0%
OT
48.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |