Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Dowd 49.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 83.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Zibanejad
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Zibanejad
Dowd
Last 6: Zibanejad 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Zibanejad
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Zibanejad
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
52.2% (835)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
60.0% (10)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
44.0% (350)
+2.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Dowd
Home
55.1% (501)
51.5% (619)
Away
49.2% (555)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Zibanejad
Dowd
P1
57.5%
51.7%
P2
50.7%
51.6%
P3
47.9%
47.0%
OT
66.7%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |