Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Dowd 48.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 91.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Zibanejad
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Zibanejad
Dowd
Last 7: Zibanejad 5-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
0
Zibanejad
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Zibanejad
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
49.2% (778)
+1.7%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
58.3% (12)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
44.0% (234)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Dowd
Home
51.1% (536)
46.3% (492)
Away
47.6% (576)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Zibanejad
Dowd
P1
50.1%
49.1%
P2
47.3%
48.2%
P3
50.7%
46.9%
OT
45.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |