Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.5% vs Backlund 48.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 79.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 61.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Benn
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Benn
Backlund
Last 6: Benn 4-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Benn
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (362)
50.1% (711)
+1.6%
Power Play
52.8% (178)
43.2% (81)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
38.6% (83)
+8.6%
On power play, Benn has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Benn is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Benn shoots left. Backlund is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Benn
Backlund
Home
56.9% (304)
51.0% (396)
Away
46.0% (272)
46.1% (479)
By Period
Benn
Backlund
P1
50.8%
43.9%
P2
49.0%
51.5%
P3
54.6%
51.0%
OT
70.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |