Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 50.0%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.3% vs Backlund 50.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 60.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 52.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Eller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Eller
Backlund
Last 7: Eller 1-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Eller
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Eller
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (749)
51.1% (1,070)
-1.0%
Power Play
46.1% (76)
50.5% (91)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
45.2% (248)
+1.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Eller shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Eller
Backlund
Home
51.4% (465)
49.3% (702)
Away
47.3% (491)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Eller
Backlund
P1
47.9%
46.3%
P2
51.6%
53.8%
P3
47.7%
49.9%
OT
62.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |