Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Backlund 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (357)
39.8% (508)
+7.5%
Power Play
55.0% (40)
60.5% (38)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
20.0% (5)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backlund is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Backlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.0% (211)
42.6% (237)
Away
50.5% (196)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.6%
33.3%
P2
53.0%
45.1%
P3
41.2%
44.6%
OT
100.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |