Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
43.0% (349)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
31.8% (88)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Backlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.6% (653)
38.5% (231)
Away
49.3% (576)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.0%
40.2%
P2
49.8%
36.0%
P3
51.7%
45.1%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |