Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Backlund 8-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (1,070)
48.3% (633)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
64.6% (48)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (248)
43.0% (86)
+2.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Backlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.3% (702)
52.0% (419)
Away
50.7% (708)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.3%
51.5%
P2
53.8%
45.9%
P3
49.9%
48.1%
OT
45.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |