Mikael Backlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 51.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Backlund 1-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (602)
46.7% (137)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
39.1% (23)
-0.1%
On even strength, Backlund has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Backlund shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.5% (400)
53.9% (89)
Away
52.5% (345)
35.2% (71)
By Period
Backlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.0%
50.9%
P2
56.4%
36.7%
P3
48.9%
48.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |