Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Jarvis 48.8% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 62.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Backlund
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
45.8% (24)
+5.7%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
0.0% (1)
+49.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Jarvis is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Backlund
Jarvis
Home
51.6% (653)
27.3% (11)
Away
49.3% (576)
57.1% (14)
By Period
Backlund
Jarvis
P1
50.0%
58.3%
P2
49.8%
50.0%
P3
51.7%
14.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.0%