Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+16.3%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 54.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Backlund
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
37.5% (24)
+14.4%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
0.0% (1)
+51.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
0.0% (1)
+44.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Jarvis is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Backlund
Jarvis
Home
51.9% (673)
38.5% (13)
Away
49.9% (713)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Backlund
Jarvis
P1
51.4%
40.0%
P2
50.5%
20.0%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.6%