Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.4% vs Hertl 57.2% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 76.3%
Defensive zone
Granlund 89.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 78.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Granlund
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Granlund
Hertl
Last 9: Granlund 0-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Granlund
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Granlund
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Granlund
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (446)
58.1% (823)
-9.4%
Power Play
56.6% (99)
56.2% (265)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
31.1% (61)
62.9% (35)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Granlund is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Granlund shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Granlund
Hertl
Home
53.3% (255)
59.7% (561)
Away
44.4% (351)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Granlund
Hertl
P1
51.3%
51.6%
P2
48.8%
63.8%
P3
44.4%
58.6%
OT
55.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |