Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs Hertl 57.1% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 74.4%
Defensive zone
Granlund 88.8%
Neutral zone
Granlund 77.4%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Granlund
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Granlund
Hertl
Last 9: Granlund 0-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Granlund
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Granlund
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Granlund
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (431)
58.0% (816)
-8.8%
Power Play
54.7% (95)
56.5% (260)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (60)
62.9% (35)
-31.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Granlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Granlund shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Granlund
Hertl
Home
54.0% (235)
59.7% (561)
Away
44.4% (351)
55.8% (550)
By Period
Granlund
Hertl
P1
52.2%
51.4%
P2
49.5%
64.1%
P3
43.4%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
56.0%▲
46.5%
48.3%
Hertl
54.0%▼
58.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |