Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Granlund wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 47.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 53.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 50.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Granlund
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (885)
57.0% (718)
-10.3%
Power Play
44.9% (69)
64.9% (188)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (98)
44.2% (77)
+4.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Granlund shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Granlund
Hertl
Home
51.1% (495)
59.2% (463)
Away
42.9% (557)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Granlund
Hertl
P1
49.9%
56.3%
P2
46.4%
55.4%
P3
44.3%
60.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%