Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs Hertl 56.6% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 67.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 64.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Granlund
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
56.6% (632)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
58.7% (206)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (51)
63.6% (22)
-34.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Granlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Granlund shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Granlund
Hertl
Home
57.0% (179)
59.7% (434)
Away
43.0% (307)
54.9% (426)
By Period
Granlund
Hertl
P1
53.9%
51.0%
P2
48.2%
64.0%
P3
42.4%
57.8%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
48.1%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%