Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.6% vs Hertl 55.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 72.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 76.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Granlund
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Granlund
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Granlund
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (588)
54.1% (717)
-4.6%
Power Play
60.5% (43)
61.9% (210)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (93)
58.1% (31)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Granlund shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Granlund
Hertl
Home
54.8% (305)
58.1% (492)
Away
45.8% (419)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Granlund
Hertl
P1
43.8%
57.1%
P2
51.2%
54.0%
P3
53.9%
56.6%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |