Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Zacha 50.1% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.8%
Defensive zone
Frost 54.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Frost
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
48.0% (296)
-0.6%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
61.0% (59)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
50.0% (22)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Frost shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Frost
Zacha
Home
51.1% (221)
48.9% (223)
Away
45.9% (246)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Frost
Zacha
P1
47.5%
47.9%
P2
52.3%
48.3%
P3
44.7%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%