Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Zacha 51.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 90.2%
Defensive zone
Frost 50.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 71.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Frost
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Frost
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
53.3% (646)
+1.6%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
53.0% (100)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
38.9% (72)
+61.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Frost shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Frost
Zacha
Home
56.0% (443)
51.7% (410)
Away
56.6% (429)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Frost
Zacha
P1
58.9%
57.7%
P2
55.3%
48.9%
P3
54.0%
50.2%
OT
70.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |