Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 54.9% vs Zacha 51.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 89.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 51.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 66.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Frost
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Frost
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (521)
53.7% (497)
+0.4%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
54.8% (84)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
37.5% (64)
+62.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Frost is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Frost shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Frost
Zacha
Home
57.2% (339)
51.0% (335)
Away
54.0% (328)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Frost
Zacha
P1
58.2%
60.0%
P2
55.6%
48.1%
P3
52.9%
48.8%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
55.6%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |