Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.3%). Frost wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Zacha 46.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 66.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 61.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Frost
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Frost
Zacha
Last 6: Frost 4-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Frost
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
45.3% (247)
+0.3%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
58.1% (31)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
22.2% (18)
+33.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Frost shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Frost
Zacha
Home
47.0% (440)
39.7% (131)
Away
44.8% (511)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Frost
Zacha
P1
42.5%
42.9%
P2
47.9%
46.4%
P3
46.6%
42.3%
OT
66.7%
87.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |