Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Zacha 54.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 63.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 56.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 58.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Frost
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Frost
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Frost
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
53.9% (787)
-5.3%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
63.2% (193)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.3% (88)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Frost shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Frost
Zacha
Home
49.9% (399)
56.7% (538)
Away
49.1% (424)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Frost
Zacha
P1
51.2%
52.6%
P2
53.9%
54.8%
P3
42.7%
56.8%
OT
40.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |