Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Zacha 52.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 62.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Frost
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Frost
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Frost
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
54.1% (534)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
56.0% (109)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.8% (96)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Frost
Zacha
Home
50.7% (489)
53.4% (406)
Away
51.7% (544)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Frost
Zacha
P1
53.6%
56.8%
P2
47.8%
53.6%
P3
52.0%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |