Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 48.7% vs Strome 45.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 62.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 63.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 64.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Frost
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Frost
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Frost
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Frost
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (426)
44.1% (749)
+3.3%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
46.2% (52)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
52.9% (17)
-32.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Frost shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Frost
Strome
Home
51.1% (221)
45.1% (441)
Away
45.9% (246)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Frost
Strome
P1
47.5%
42.9%
P2
52.3%
44.4%
P3
44.7%
45.8%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |