Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 49.5% vs Strome 46.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 55.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 58.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Frost
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Frost
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Frost
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (704)
46.4% (371)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.7% (115)
43.3% (97)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
55.6% (18)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Frost shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Frost
Strome
Home
49.9% (399)
47.6% (225)
Away
49.1% (424)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Frost
Strome
P1
51.2%
45.4%
P2
53.9%
47.6%
P3
42.7%
45.2%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |