Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Strome 42.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 60.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 67.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 56.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Frost
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Frost
Strome
Last 10: Frost 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
0
Frost
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
7
Frost
Strome
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
41.2% (1,040)
+9.1%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
43.0% (151)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
51.4% (35)
-1.4%
On power play, Frost has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Frost shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Frost
Strome
Home
50.7% (489)
40.1% (581)
Away
51.7% (544)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Frost
Strome
P1
53.6%
41.4%
P2
47.8%
42.9%
P3
52.0%
40.5%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |