Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Frost wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 46.2% vs Strome 44.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 70.2%
Defensive zone
Frost 62.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 69.6%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Frost
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Frost
Strome
Last 6: Frost 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Frost
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (833)
43.0% (788)
+2.6%
Power Play
46.0% (100)
47.9% (96)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (18)
50.0% (34)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Frost shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Frost
Strome
Home
47.0% (440)
42.6% (486)
Away
44.8% (511)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Frost
Strome
P1
42.5%
41.0%
P2
47.9%
47.8%
P3
46.6%
42.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |