Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Frost wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Strome 45.2% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 79.7%
Defensive zone
Frost 58.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 72.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Frost
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Frost
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
44.2% (267)
+10.7%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
37.0% (27)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Frost shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Frost
Strome
Home
56.0% (443)
42.0% (157)
Away
56.6% (429)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Frost
Strome
P1
58.9%
40.0%
P2
55.3%
46.4%
P3
54.0%
44.0%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |