Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 52.1% vs Novak 46.5% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone
Novak 53.1%
Defensive zone
Geekie 54.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Geekie
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (615)
43.2% (118)
+10.0%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
47.8% (23)
-3.4%
On even strength, Geekie has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Geekie shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Geekie
Novak
Home
55.0% (331)
50.7% (71)
Away
50.0% (338)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Geekie
Novak
P1
53.9%
44.7%
P2
56.0%
50.0%
P3
46.5%
38.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%