Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Novak 43.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 56.7%
Defensive zone
Geekie 76.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 59.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Geekie
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Geekie
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
40.7% (460)
+3.0%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
61.5% (39)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Geekie
Novak
Home
45.3% (329)
47.0% (236)
Away
42.9% (331)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Geekie
Novak
P1
41.2%
43.1%
P2
45.0%
43.1%
P3
46.2%
40.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |