Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 46.8% vs Novak 44.9% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Novak 53.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Geekie
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (99)
41.7% (206)
+2.7%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
52.6% (19)
-4.3%
On power play, Novak has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Geekie is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Geekie shoots right. Novak is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Geekie
Novak
Home
43.7% (71)
44.9% (118)
Away
45.0% (60)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Geekie
Novak
P1
39.2%
41.5%
P2
50.0%
44.0%
P3
42.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%