Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Roy 48.9% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
MacKinnon
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
49.5% (746)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
50.7% (75)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
42.7% (110)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Roy
Home
49.5% (396)
47.7% (491)
Away
41.7% (448)
50.0% (440)
By Period
MacKinnon
Roy
P1
50.2%
51.1%
P2
43.8%
44.6%
P3
41.4%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%