Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Roy 47.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
MacKinnon
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
MacKinnon
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
MacKinnon
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
47.5% (617)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
39.6% (53)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
46.4% (97)
-6.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Roy
Home
47.8% (670)
47.2% (398)
Away
44.6% (644)
46.3% (369)
By Period
MacKinnon
Roy
P1
45.3%
48.6%
P2
48.5%
48.8%
P3
45.0%
43.9%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |