Nathan MacKinnon vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Dubois 47.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 59.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.5%
Neutral zone
Dubois 50.1%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
MacKinnon
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
MacKinnon
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
MacKinnon
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
MacKinnon
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
MacKinnon
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
46.1% (1,050)
-0.3%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
58.0% (81)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
25.0% (4)
+2.6%
On power play, Dubois has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Dubois is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Dubois
Home
49.5% (396)
47.0% (581)
Away
41.7% (448)
46.8% (554)
By Period
MacKinnon
Dubois
P1
50.2%
46.9%
P2
43.8%
50.1%
P3
41.4%
43.9%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
45.4%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |