Nathan MacKinnon vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Dubois 49.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 54.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 78.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
MacKinnon
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKinnon
Dubois
Last 6: MacKinnon 2-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
MacKinnon
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
MacKinnon
Dubois
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
48.7% (809)
-4.0%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
50.9% (163)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
37.5% (16)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Dubois is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Dubois
Home
49.4% (553)
50.5% (497)
Away
40.0% (615)
47.3% (491)
By Period
MacKinnon
Dubois
P1
45.3%
49.0%
P2
42.7%
48.2%
P3
45.1%
49.1%
OT
46.2%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |