Nathan MacKinnon vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.7%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Dubois 49.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.9%
Defensive zone
Dubois 64.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.8%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
MacKinnon
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
MacKinnon
Dubois
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
1
MacKinnon
Dubois
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
3
4
MacKinnon
Dubois
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
3
MacKinnon
Dubois
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
49.8% (1,064)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
46.3% (67)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
53.3% (30)
-4.2%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Dubois is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Dubois
Home
50.9% (740)
48.3% (582)
Away
49.0% (774)
51.1% (579)
By Period
MacKinnon
Dubois
P1
50.9%
52.0%
P2
51.8%
49.9%
P3
47.1%
46.9%
OT
58.8%
64.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |