Nathan MacKinnon vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.7%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Dubois 46.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 41-37 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 57.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
MacKinnon
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
37
(78 meetings)
41
37
MacKinnon
Dubois
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
13
10
MacKinnon
Dubois
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
10
9
MacKinnon
Dubois
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
18
18
MacKinnon
Dubois
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
46.2% (7,002)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
51.3% (606)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
48.1% (108)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Dubois is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,643).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Dubois
Home
49.7% (6,444)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
MacKinnon
Dubois
P1
47.4%
47.6%
P2
46.6%
45.6%
P3
46.1%
46.8%
OT
48.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |