Nathan MacKinnon vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Dubois 49.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 61.7%
Defensive zone
Dubois 53.2%
Neutral zone
Dubois 61.5%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
MacKinnon
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
MacKinnon
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
49.3% (842)
-3.8%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
57.1% (35)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
55.6% (9)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Dubois is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Dubois
Home
47.8% (670)
51.0% (445)
Away
44.6% (644)
48.3% (441)
By Period
MacKinnon
Dubois
P1
45.3%
50.3%
P2
48.5%
49.5%
P3
45.0%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |