Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Hintz 58.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 82.6%
Defensive zone
Hintz 89.6%
Neutral zone
Hintz 80.5%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 82.7%
17.3%
82.7%
MacKinnon
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
MacKinnon
Hintz
Last 7: MacKinnon 5-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
0
MacKinnon
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
MacKinnon
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,134)
58.7% (530)
-9.0%
Power Play
63.5% (167)
59.4% (170)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
66.7% (27)
-33.4%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (965).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hintz
Home
52.7% (674)
60.2% (354)
Away
49.4% (660)
58.2% (373)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hintz
P1
49.6%
58.4%
P2
52.5%
59.8%
P3
50.6%
58.2%
OT
66.7%
81.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.0%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 04:21 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |