Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Hintz 55.3% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 77.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 68.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 74.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
MacKinnon
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
MacKinnon
Hintz
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
3
MacKinnon
Hintz
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
8
MacKinnon
Hintz
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
56.3% (512)
-10.8%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
63.3% (30)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
45.8% (24)
-5.8%
On even strength, Hintz has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hintz
Home
47.8% (670)
57.3% (262)
Away
44.6% (644)
55.3% (304)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hintz
P1
45.3%
54.8%
P2
48.5%
56.0%
P3
45.0%
57.5%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |