Nathan MacKinnon vs Roope Hintz

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Roope Hintz holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 46.5% vs Hintz 55.3% (-10.0%)
H2H factor Hintz leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 77.2%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 68.6%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 74.2%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
MacKinnon Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 13 (22 meetings)
9
13
MacKinnon Hintz
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Hintz

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
3
MacKinnon Hintz
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
8
MacKinnon Hintz
9 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
56.3% (512)
-10.8%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
63.3% (30)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
45.8% (24)
-5.8%
On even strength, Hintz has a +10.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hintz shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hintz
Home
47.8% (670)
57.3% (262)
Away
44.6% (644)
55.3% (304)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hintz
P1
45.3%
54.8%
P2
48.5%
56.0%
P3
45.0%
57.5%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
59.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
46.2%
Hintz
64.0%
61.0%
56.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 7, 2024 3 18:33 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 7, 2024 3 10:15 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 7, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Roope Hintz
Apr 7, 2024 2 08:15 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 7, 2024 2 05:18 Neutral Roope Hintz
Apr 7, 2024 1 17:45 Defensive Roope Hintz
Apr 7, 2024 1 00:22 Defensive Roope Hintz
Apr 7, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Roope Hintz
Feb 27, 2024 3 00:43 Neutral Roope Hintz
Feb 27, 2024 2 12:02 Neutral Roope Hintz
Feb 27, 2024 2 08:23 Offensive Roope Hintz
Feb 27, 2024 2 04:23 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 27, 2024 1 14:50 Offensive Roope Hintz
Feb 27, 2024 1 05:58 Neutral Roope Hintz
Feb 27, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Roope Hintz
Jan 4, 2024 2 16:30 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 4, 2024 2 16:12 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 4, 2024 2 14:16 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 4, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Roope Hintz
Jan 4, 2024 1 18:57 Offensive Roope Hintz